About

A macroeconomic forecasting firm

Terminus builds macroeconomic forecasts and applies them to client decisions. The record is public so the work can be judged on results rather than on claims.

We forecast inflation, growth, central bank policy and currencies for the major economies. The model is structural: it is built on the relationships between demand, labour, credit, energy and policy, and it is re-estimated as each release lands.

Every forecast is published with the date it was made and scored against the official outcome. That discipline is the whole point — it is what separates a forecasting practice from commentary.

The advisory business exists because forecasts only matter when they touch a decision. We work with businesses, institutions, family offices and private investors who need a defensible macro baseline behind the choices they make.

94.7%

Central bank calls correct

95.9%

Macro forecast accuracy

99

Time-stamped forecasts published